Amid the worrisome threats of invasion that Taiwan has received in recent days from the Chinese communist regime, Russia defined the large island with an independent government as part of the Chinese mainland, according to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.

“As you know, Russia, like the vast majority of countries in the world, considers Taiwan to be part of the People’s Republic of China. This is the basis of our policy,” Lavrov replied when asked by journalists, according to Ria Novosti on Oct. 12. 

The question was asked whether Lavrov viewed the Chinese communist regime’s attempts to annex Taiwan as a threat to regional security, inferring that for Russia, this would be an internal matter, and it would not intervene in the event of an invasion.

However, for the more than 23 million Taiwanese, the crisis is becoming more acute every day, and with the track record that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has established in Hong Kong, the fate of the big island seems uncertain.

For Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen, the die is cast. She firmly expresses her country’s determination to remain independent of the CCP dictatorship, which has continued to escalate its rhetoric about unifying the island.

“We will continue to bolster our national defense and demonstrate our determination to defend ourselves in order to ensure that nobody can force Taiwan to take the path China has laid out for us,” Tsai said as she celebrated Taiwan’s national day on Oct. 10. 

She added: “This is because the path that China has laid out offers neither a free and democratic way of life for Taiwan, nor sovereignty for our 23 million people.”

For his part, CCP leader Xi Jinping reiterated last weekend that Beijing hoped for the peaceful reunification of mainland China with Taiwan and warned that those who oppose it “will be rejected with contempt by the people.”

In this context, Taiwan’s defense minister, Qiu Guozheng, considers the situation in the Taiwan Strait area to be the most tense in the last 40 years. However, he defers to 2025 that the CCP is prepared for a takeover by force. 

Taiwan now basically has its own military defense system. Although it has invested many billions of dollars in weapons and equipment purchased from the U.S., its military is not very large. The government expects citizen volunteers to be attached to its defense. 

While the U.S. has shown much willingness to back the island in the event of aggression, the disaster of the exit from Afghanistan does not bode well for possible military intervention, should it decide to take up arms on its behalf. 

It is possible to assimilate Taiwan’s future image to that of Hong Kong, a large, cosmopolitan, and successful city which, through an international treaty signed between Great Britain and the CCP, was governed under the “one country, two systems” policy.

These conditions granted it a high degree of autonomy and at the same time allowed it to have a political, legal, and economic system separate from China until 2047. Still, the CCP’s siege of repression tightened until it completely suffocated the self-determination of its citizens. 

The CCP issued the security law that has been in effect since June 30, 2020, in Hong Kong and established a security force acting directly under its orders.

Under this infamous law, dozens of democracy figures have been arrested on national security charges, and an official campaign has been launched to purge Hong Kong of anyone deemed dissident and “unpatriotic.”

There is also heavy censorship of films with political content. Even curricula have been rewritten. Dissident artists are also being persecuted and censored.

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