Taiwan’s Director of National Security Bureau Chen Mingtong was invited to the Legislative Yuan on April 28 to report on “Recent Epidemic Development, Social Stability and Political Influence in China.”

He points out that the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party is the most important political event this year.

General Secretary of China Xi Jinping’s “zero covid” policy has sparked public discontent, and Xi Jinping’s insistence on draconian measures has raised his political security threats. Still, the current research and judgment show it doesn’t affect his power.

According to Chen Mingtong, Xi Jinping holds military power. Especially after the former vice-chairman of the Communist Party’s Central Military Commission, Xu Caihou, was purged.

He said that Xi Jinping would stay in office for a third term after the 20th Congress, expected to be held in October or November.

Based on the rule “seven up and eight down” of the CCP, Chen believes that Chinese Premier Li Keqiang, born in 1955, should remain in office. The rule “seven up and eight down” means the Politburo Standing Committee member stays in office if he is younger than the age of 67 and retires after 68.

When discussing China’s epidemic prevention work, he believes that the Chinese vaccine is less effective in protecting the people, so they have always been consistent with the “zero covid” policy. He forecasted the measures to last at least until 2024.

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